Fitch cuts India’s FY27 GDP growth forecast to 6.4% amid Middle East conflict impact
Fitch Ratings has reduced its forecast for India’s real GDP growth in FY27 to **6.4%**, citing higher input and energy costs linked to the Middle East conflict and their impact on consumer demand.[1] The agency notes that while domestic demand will remain the main growth driver, elevated prices are expected to erode purchasing power, especially in Q2 and Q3 of FY27.[1] Fitch also flags imported inflation pressures through commodities and shipping routes. It does not project a hard landing but expects growth to be slightly below earlier estimates. The forecast revision is part of its broader global outlook update. The agency’s assessment assumes no major escalation beyond current levels of conflict but acknowledges continued uncertainty. For India, Fitch highlights the need to balance growth support with inflation management over the medium term.[1]
Try the question
Which agency recently cut India’s FY27 GDP growth forecast to 6.4% citing the impact of the Middle East conflict on costs and demand?
Answer: (c) Fitch Ratings
The correct answer is (c) Fitch Ratings.