Current Affairs 15 July 2026

In short

  • India’s retail inflation breaches RBI target amid Middle East conflict impact
  • India’s merchandise trade deficit widens to $30.43 billion in June

…and 11 more stories on DEFENCE, POLITY, DIPLOMACY, GOVERNANCE.

Top stories

ECONOMY

India’s retail inflation breaches RBI target amid Middle East conflict impact

India’s retail inflation rose above the Reserve Bank of India’s 4% target for the first time in 17 months, according to government data released on Monday.[2] The spike is being linked to higher food and energy costs, partly driven by disruptions and uncertainty arising from the ongoing Middle East conflict.[2] The breach of the target has increased market expectations that the RBI may consider interest rate hikes to contain price pressures.[2] Elevated crude oil prices and supply-chain disturbances in shipping lanes are adding to imported inflation.[2] The data suggests that the inflation trajectory could complicate India’s growth-inflation balance in the near term.[2] Policymakers are likely to closely monitor food price trends, particularly cereals and vegetables, which have a high weight in the CPI basket.[2] The development comes at a time when global financial conditions are already tight, limiting the space for accommodative monetary policy.[2]

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India’s medium-term inflation target, as followed by the RBI, is set at which level of CPI inflation?

ECONOMY

India’s merchandise trade deficit widens to $30.43 billion in June

India’s merchandise trade deficit expanded to $30.43 billion in June as exports fell faster than imports, according to government data.[2] The widening deficit reflects the impact of shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz linked to the Middle East conflict.[2] Export performance was hampered by logistical delays and higher freight costs faced by Indian exporters.[2] Imports remained relatively resilient, with essential commodities like crude oil continuing to flow despite higher prices.[2] The larger trade deficit raises concerns about the current account balance and external vulnerability.[2] Policymakers are expected to watch the trend closely, given its implications for the rupee and foreign exchange reserves.[2] The situation underscores India’s exposure to geopolitical risks in key maritime routes.[2]

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The Strait of Hormuz is significant in India’s June trade data primarily because it is

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